Surprised by the intensity of Hezbollah’s retaliatory attacks against it, Israel appears to be pivoting to sow internal chaos within Lebanon’s borders in a bid to trigger a catastrophic civil war. An attempted coup against the Lebanese military’s leadership may be the catalyst. At the beginning of May, the extent of the rocket and drone fire
Failing To Destroy Hezbollah, Israel Seeks To Spark A Lebanese Civil War
It is unlikely that the Lebanese Army would remain intact if they were ordered to attack Hezbollah, as a large component of its fighters are speculated to sympathise with the Party that is resisting Israeli aggression. Although there is no census allowed, it is speculated that the Lebanese Army itself could be composed of between 25% to 50% Shia Muslims, the same sect as Hezbollah.